Videoblogging theoretics, being the media, and the completely improvised future of a world currently without rhyme, reason or good beetroot fertiliser.
We might be about to see a big and very welcome change in the way we innovate and invent. About 20 years ago we were bemoaning the move from individual inventor to corporate R&D, when most well known developments seemed to come out of company labs, and companies such as Philips and IBM invested more and more in pure research and it's commercialisation. While inventions were still coming from an idea by an individual, the individual and the teams that went on to develop them were more often than not working for a large corporation.
Who remembers Charles P. Ginsburg of Ampex Corporation, who led the team which invented the first video recorder; or Dr. Percy Spencer from weapons developers Raytheon Corporation, who first discovered that microwaves could be used in a new type of oven; or the team behind the Joint Strike Fighter?
The day of the individual inventor seemed to be over, with the likes of Edison, Bell and Gutenberg perhaps ending with someone like Robert Moog or Raymond Kurzeil. This also seemed the case in my industry, with the days when an individual software developer could design and build a product on their own, also almost over. Goodbye to the heady days of software invention by engineers such as Dan Bricklin, Bill Budge and Alan Bird, to name a random few.
However, about five years ago the ABC TV show "The Inventors" popped back on air, and there seem to be a lot more news stories these days about individual inventors again. How come?
This story about a bed which makes itself is amusing, and was invented by an individual, Enrico Berruti. Now you may be thinking well, that's what you get from an individual inventor, but Jean-Luc Vincent, who chairs the International Exhibition of Inventions where the bed is being shown, makes reference to Proctor & Gamble's Connect & Develop strategy, where up to 50% of the P&G's innovations are sourced from outside the company. Of course this doesn't mean that these are all by individuals, but there's at least recognition that invention happens outside a formal lab environment, and more often than not when an individual randomly gets a really clever idea all of a sudden.
In software at least, are we finally seeing a shift back to individuals or small teams? Things went out of control when users started expecting more functionality in their products, particularly with companies such as Microsoft setting a new benchmark in software complexity. Small developers found it difficult to satisfy ever growing user expectations of what good software should include.
About 15 years ago I used to write software packages on my own, and have them marketed by software publishing companies. I haven't done that in a long while, due to the work that would be involved in developing so much new code from scratch. But with open source and COTS now being increasingly low risk and easy to integrate options for developers, maybe we are seeing a revitalised community of individual developers.
So go and invent something!
I wrote a bit of a rant about 3 and half years ago, about the Canberra taxi sharing rate. It's old, so I'm sure the system has changed since then, but for some reason I still get blog comments, usually from people who don't understand the system, or a driver with no idea what it's like to be a passenger.
Anyway, it's time to turn on the Sydney taxi system, which is completely stuffed, and was recently voted the worst in all of Australia by the Tourist and Transport Forum.
We live in Newtown, a fairly arty yet very busy middle income area of Sydney, which if you're not taking the tollway between the CBD and the airport, is pretty much mid-way between them, but again, lots of people live and work in the area. But therein lies the problem, cabbies would rather go to the CBD or airport than pick up a Newtown fare that could be going anywhere. I catch cabs several times a week, so how do I fare? A few examples are in order.
My girlfriend booked a cab over the phone around 6:30am on a weekday morning, and was told "first available", which seems to be the layman's translation of "good fucking luck if anyone happens to be in your area". After several calls, and 30 minutes, there was no cab, so she called a third time to complain, at which point they cancelled the cab that said he was on his way, and organised for another cab company to take the booking. Meanwhile, the cab that was cancelled, came past our house, but decided not to stop and take the booking. After an hour, she finally got her cab, at the expense of an important meeting.
3pm is shift changeover. If you want a cab within 30 minutes of 3pm, you're stuffed. Cabs will even drive past you with their light on ("available") but won't stop.
One day at a big taxi rank in town, I was waiting for a cab at around 2:30pm. I was at the head of the rank, so I should have gotten the next one. Two cabs turn up at the rank, but park at the rear of the rank. There used to be a law that if a taxi joins the rank, then they must take you wherever you want to go, and I have a feeling the law is now extended to anywhere, not just at a rank. However cabs these days seem to think they can sit at the back of the rank, get out of their vehicle, walk down to the line of people and ask if anyone's going to a high fare area, or somewhere on the way to their shift changeover location. If they don't want to take the chance of getting a good fare at 3pm, then just don't take any fares! It breaks the system, and makes people unhappy and pissed off with taxi drivers.
This is what happened on this particular day, and it took 45 minutes to get a cab at this major CBD rank. Meanwhile other cabs are driving into the rank, dropping people off, and then driving away empty. After 20 minutes had passed, a cab turns up at the head of the rank and drops people off, I try to get into the cab, but he says he's not taking bookings and drives off. I joke with the guy behind me about arsehole cab drivers. Then two turn up to drop off passengers, again at the head of the rank. The guy behind me goes to the second cab, who let's him in, but the first cab doesn't let me in, he's not taking bookings. So the guy behind me decides he's waited long enough and just drives off. Passengers can be arseholes too.
The other week I booked a cab for 9am at the corner of my street and King Street, the major through road in the area. Two cabs came past with their light on, and both said that they weren't the ones who had accepted the booking, even though they were from the same company as the booking. WTF? I ended up getting into the second one, and called the company to cancel the booking, but twice when I was half way through their automated booking system, they hung up on me, so I gave up bothering to let them know. I don't know whether my number is now logged, but I definitely get a lot of late cabs these days.
"first available" cab bookings used to work by calling out the job over the taxi radio, and whichever driver hit "accept" or whatever the button is called on their radio, they would get the job. The driver was supposed to only take the job if they were in the area and within a few minutes of being free. However I've had lots of cabs where while we're way outside the area of my destination, they will switch their radio to where we're going to be in 20 minutes, and accept any job they hear. No wonder it always takes so long to get a cab.
Sure, cabbies have it tough, but they have a choice of whether to be one or not, and they have a choice of whether to be nice to people or to mess with the system. Today my girlfriend and I got into a cab in town, and were on our way home. We hit traffic from a big accident about half way, and decided to get out and walk, but we didn't because the cabbie would be out of a fare AND stuck in traffic. However he overheard us talking and said it would be fine if we wanted to get out. So I gave him a big tip and we got out. Meanwhile, around the next corner, the accident had cleared, so he pulled over and waited for the 2 minutes it took us to catch up by walking, and asked if we'd like to have the rest of our journey for free. The tip wouldn't have covered the distance, but he still offered. It's nice to be nice, nice makes nice.
A few years back, cabbies started messing with the first available system, by giving their business cards to passengers who have big regular fares. Many of the cabs that take jobs from the airport, are because a regular customer called them direct on their mobile, and asked them to be picked up. The state government decides on how many taxi licenses to hand out, based on how many they think the city can handle. When many of these are used for private paid transport, it's no wonder that people not bucking the system, have to wait so long for a cab.
This is against the law by the way, and to combat this, a lot of taxi drivers have changed themselves into private hire transport, outside the taxi system, because they can make more money that way. This in effect brings in more inexperienced cabbies into the taxi system.
I met one cabbie who had two other mates who also drove taxis, and they'd spent most of their time on the phone co-ordinating their private bookings and looking after each other. His excuse was that they were now competing with the hire transport guys for fares, and so had to optimise their fares in order to survive. And this is one of the main problems with Sydney's taxi system, the drivers mess with the system, the broken system then annoys the customers, and the drivers respond by saying "fuck you" to the customers and even more trying to optimise their bucking of the system.
So for you you taxi customers out there, the best way to work with the system, and get a cab when you want it, is to book with Silver Service, over the Internet, for a specific date and time, ahead of that time.
It is ironic that the moment when you need a cab most urgently, that being right now without any warning, cab companies treat this as "first available", which effectively gives it the lowest priority of all taxi bookings.
In closing, I should mention the infamous taxi round about problem. You're waiting on a city block for a cab. You haven't booked one, and the closest rank is too far away or is empty, so you're just going to call one over when you see it. Problem is, there's another person nearby who also wants a cab, so they stand 10-20 metres in front of you, and end up getting the first cab. If you see someone standing in front of you, do you then move another 10-20 metres around the block? Eventually you'll end up where you started from.
Or what about the rank stalker? These are people who stand 5-10 metres in front of the cab rank, so they can grab the next taxi just before it gets to the rank. I was in town one Thursday night with three of us at a main rank, and had four different people steal incoming cabs just before they hit the rank. Surely cab drivers would try to respect the system when they'll still get a fare if they go the extra 10 metres to the rank? Or maybe outside the rank they can at least check to see where the person is going before taking the job.
All I ask of the taxi system is that a taxi turns up when I need it, and it takes me to where I want to go. Is this too much to ask?
The Sydney taxi system is screwed, and something needs to be done about it. It's not like you can catch public transport instead, because it's also stuffed.
With the idea that if you can live for the next 20-50 years, you'll effectively live forever, comes a whole range of significant questions for human kind. Such as...
How do we provide the resources for all these people? Food, air, housing, even land itself. Will we need to restrict how many children can be born? Will we have a maximum legal age, like in Logan's Run?
What happens to prisoners who were given a 100 year or more sentence, with the courts assuming they wouldn't live any longer or would be too old to cause trouble? A life sentence suddenly carries much more weight, especially with never to be paroled. Will our jails just keep filling up with lifers? What happens when a psychopath gets out after 100+ years, is perfectly fit and after revenge? Do we automatically extend jail terms each year by the planet's average life span? Or by that time will we have found the psycho gene and have deleted it from those in prison?
With life being suddenly more valuable and no longer inevitable, will we start taking less chances in life? Less risk, less danger, less experiencing of life itself. What will it be like for a children, who grow up in a world where living forever is just a part of being human?
Will we see the end of the lifetime warranty? What will this mean for a life insurance policy? Less risk, but longer life. Where on earth am I going to keep all my memorabilia, my personal stuff I've kept from my life experience?
And do we really have to put up with Rove McManus living forever?